Sport Picks
Ludogorets vs Arda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad 
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets host Arda in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Ludogorets have averaged 1.59 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Arda's 1.23 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Ludogorets have won 1 to Arda's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Ludogorets. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Ludogorets lately — more wins on the board than Arda.
- Model gives Ludogorets a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets | Arda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Ludogorets has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Ludogorets scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Arda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets
(Home)Arda
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
