Sport Picks
Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad 
Match Events
32'
32'
Awany T.
Own Goal
34'
34'
Rwan Cruz
Assist: Tekpetey B.
46'
46'
Sub
Iliev N. In: Milanov G.
Out: Iliev N.
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Botev Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Ludogorets.
- Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ludogorets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 19%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets | Botev Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv
2:0
Feb 23, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv
2:1
Feb 27, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv
1:0
Feb 4, 2025 Super Cup
Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Rwan Cruz
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Botev Plovdiv Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ludogorets 58 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ludogorets Botev Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Ludogorets remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Ludogorets's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Botev Plovdiv conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ludogorets VS Botev Plovdiv
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets
(Home) 04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0 Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0 Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 4
Botev Plovdiv
(Away) 19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3 Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3 Botev Plovdiv
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
27 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2 Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
