Sport Picks
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
Bulgaria
efbet League Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad 
Match Events
22'
22'
Tekpetey B.
Assist: Rwan Cruz
40'
40'
Sub
Boyanov L. In: Kichukov A.
Out: Boyanov L.
45'
45'
Rwan Cruz
Assist: Tekpetey B.
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ludogorets have won more games recently than Botev Vratsa.
- Model gives Ludogorets a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ludogorets have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets | Botev Vratsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
2:0
Jul 25, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
2:0
Apr 10, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Tekpetey B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rwan Cruz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Botev Vratsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Borukov P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ludogorets 49 / 100
Botev Vratsa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ludogorets Botev Vratsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ludogorets's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Botev Vratsa has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ludogorets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ludogorets VS Botev Vratsa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets
(Home) 09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3 Ludogorets
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2 Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0 Teuta
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 4
Botev Vratsa
(Away) 10 Aug
Botev Vratsa
0 : 3 Slavia Sofia
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
25 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
19 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 1 Cherno More
10 Jul
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0 Arda
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
25 Jul
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
27 Jun
Levski Sofia
1 : 1 Botev Vratsa
18 May
Dobrudzha
1 : 2 Botev Vratsa
05 May
Lok. Sofia
2 : 2 Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 10 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 6 | Arda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Lok. Plovdiv | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 11 | Cherno More | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 12 | Botev Vratsa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | 1 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
