Sport Picks
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad 
Match Events
22'
22'
Tekpetey B.
Assist: Rwan Cruz
40'
40'
Sub
Boyanov L. In: Kichukov A.
Out: Boyanov L.
45'
45'
Rwan Cruz
Assist: Tekpetey B.
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ludogorets have won more games recently than Botev Vratsa.
- Model gives Ludogorets a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Ludogorets have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets | Botev Vratsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
2:0
Jul 25, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets
0:1
Apr 23, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs Botev Vratsa
2:0
Apr 10, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Tekpetey B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rwan Cruz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Botev Vratsa Compare
Top Goalscorer Borukov P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ludogorets 85 / 100
Botev Vratsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ludogorets Botev Vratsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Ludogorets stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Ludogorets scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Botev Vratsa has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ludogorets VS Botev Vratsa
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets
(Home) 04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0 Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0 Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 4
Botev Vratsa
(Away) 03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Botev Vratsa
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0 Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0 Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Botev Vratsa
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0 Botev Vratsa
16 Aug
CSKA Sofia
5 : 0 Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
