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Ludogorets vs Cherno More Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets host Cherno More in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ludogorets at 1.41 goals for, 0.93 against; Cherno More at 1.07 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Ludogorets slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.94 - 1.13) back Ludogorets to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ludogorets
35%
Draws
20%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ludogorets come out ahead of Cherno More on wins alone.
  • Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Cherno More
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.41 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
2:3
Apr 9, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Cherno More
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
0:0
May 13, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Ludogorets
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Cherno More
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 85 / 100
Cherno More 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ludogorets scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Cherno More has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Cherno More
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia
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Cherno More

(Away)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
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