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Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Dellova L. In: Rodriguez F.
Out: Dellova L.
58'
Sub
Martino A. In: Yordanov A.
Out: Martino A.
58'
Sub
Piedrahita A. In: Pittas I.
Out: Piedrahita A.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ludogorets
40%
Draws
29%
CSKA Sofia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Not much separates Ludogorets and CSKA Sofia on recent form.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets CSKA Sofia
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:0
May 3, 2026 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:0
Apr 21, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Chochev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CSKA Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 32 / 100
CSKA Sofia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets CSKA Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Ludogorets went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

CSKA Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS CSKA Sofia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Teuta
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
04 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
FC Botosani
26 Jun
Ludogorets
7 : 4
Etar
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CSKA Sofia

(Away)
16 Jul
Derry City
1 : 2
CSKA Sofia
09 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 2
Derry City
03 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
28 Jun
Odra Opole
2 : 3
CSKA Sofia
24 Jun
CSKA Sofia
0 : 4
Polissya Zhytomyr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levski Sofia36256571:2581
2CSKA 1948 Sofia36207954:3567
3Ludogorets361910761:2567
4CSKA Sofia36189947:3063
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)