Sport Picks
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
Bulgaria
efbet League Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad 
Match Events
45'
45'
Chochev I.
Assist: Shishkov S.
56'
56'
Sub
Umarbaev P. In: Trdan M.
Out: Umarbaev P.
65'
65'
Sub
Duah K. In: Rwan Cruz
Out: Duah K.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Ludogorets and Lok. Plovdiv finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ludogorets come out ahead of Lok. Plovdiv on wins alone.
- Model gives Ludogorets a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets | Lok. Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:0
May 29, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Chochev I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Lok. Plovdiv Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ludogorets 85 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ludogorets Lok. Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ludogorets went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Ludogorets scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Lok. Plovdiv let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Lok. Plovdiv lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ludogorets VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets
(Home) 27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0 Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 4
Lok. Plovdiv
(Away) 20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
07 Aug
Levski Sofia
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
03 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
