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Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Vinicius Nogueira
30'
Ribeiro E.
46'
Sub
Ferreira P. In: Ivanov G.
Out: Ferreira P.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ludogorets
20%
Draws
7%
Septemvri Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ludogorets have won more games recently than Septemvri Sofia.
  • Model gives Ludogorets a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ludogorets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Septemvri Sofia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.64 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
5:0
Mar 3, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 85 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Septemvri Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ludogorets scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Septemvri Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Ludogorets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Septemvri Sofia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ludogorets
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Septemvri Sofia

(Away)
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia
01 Aug
Levski Sofia
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
18 Jul
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Arda
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
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