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Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Vinicius Nogueira
30'
Ribeiro E.
46'
Sub
Ferreira P. In: Ivanov G.
Out: Ferreira P.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ludogorets
20%
Draws
19%
Septemvri Sofia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ludogorets have won more games recently than Septemvri Sofia.
  • Model gives Ludogorets a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ludogorets have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Septemvri Sofia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
2:1
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 85 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Septemvri Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ludogorets scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Ludogorets stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Sofia conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Septemvri Sofia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
04 Oct
Ludogorets
5 : 0
Cherno More
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
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Septemvri Sofia

(Away)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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