Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugano II vs Cham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Facal J.

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lugano II
15%
Draws
64%
Cham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cham lately — more wins on the board than Lugano II.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%
Cham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano II Cham
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Cham
0:1
Feb 14, 2026 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Cham
0:3
Aug 2, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Lugano II
6:0
Apr 9, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Lugano II
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Cham
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Facal J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano II 34 / 100
Cham 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano II Cham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano II scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Cham let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lugano II went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugano II VS Cham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano II

(Home)
03 Oct
Paradiso
1 : 0
Lugano II
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
Page 1 of 6

Cham

(Away)
03 Oct
Cham
2 : 4
Bulle
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Cham
2 : 1
Bruhl SG
12 Sept
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 0
Cham
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 0
Zurich II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Bulle 10 6 2 2 22:14 20
4 Paradiso 10 6 1 3 20:9 19
5 Cham 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Grand-Saconnex 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
7 Young Fellows Juventus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
8 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
9 Zurich II 10 4 2 4 18:18 14
10 Breitenrain 10 4 2 4 13:15 14
11 Amical Saint-Prex 10 4 1 5 14:22 13
12 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
13 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
14 Young Boys II 10 3 2 5 20:27 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 10 2 2 6 10:12 8
17 Luzern II 10 2 1 7 15:19 7
18 Bellinzona 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)