Sport Picks

Europe

Conference League AIL Arena, Lugano

Lugano

1 - 0

Dukagjini

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Zanotti M.

31'

Steffen R.

Assist: Behrens K.

46'

Sub

Zulfiu I. In: Elezaj G.

Out: Zulfiu I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Lugano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Lugano

17%

Draws

13%

Dukagjini

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Lugano carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Lugano a 70% chance of winning this.
Lugano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Lugano Clean Sheet 68%

Dukagjini Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lugano	Dukagjini
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	11
Draws	8	9
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	2	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Steffen R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Dukagjini Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano 77 / 100

Dukagjini 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lugano Dukagjini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lugano scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Dukagjini conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Lugano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dukagjini's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lugano VS Dukagjini

2 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano

(Home)

23 Jul

Lugano

1 : 0

Dukagjini

17 Jul

Lugano

1 : 2

Vaduz

10 Jul

Heidenheim

0 : 1

Lugano

07 Jul

Memmingen

0 : 4

Lugano

04 Jul

Lugano

1 : 1

Rapperswil-Jona

Page 1 of 6

Dukagjini

(Away)

23 Jul

Lugano

1 : 0

Dukagjini

09 Jul

Beitar Jerusalem

1 : 0

Dukagjini

04 Jul

Lok. Sofia

3 : 3

Dukagjini

31 May

Dukagjini

1 : 0

FC Ballkani

24 May

Prishtina e Re

2 : 3

Dukagjini

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/8-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana-

TBD-

Drita-

Borac Banja Luka-

TBD-

Petrocub Hincesti-

ML Vitebsk-

TBD-

Sutjeska-

Flora-

TBD-

TNS-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar-

TBD-

Riga FC-

Bissen-

TBD-

Gyor-

Basaksehir-

TBD-

FK Sarajevo2

Inter Turku3

Vaduz-

TBD-

Mornar Bar2

Atletic Escaldes4

Mondorf2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Petrovac2

Zalgiris5

TBD-

Partizan-

TBD-

UNA Strassen3

La Fiorita0

FK Panevezys-

TBD-

Tobol-

Paks-

TBD-

Panathinaikos-

Spartak Trnava-

TBD-

CSKA 1948 Sofia-

Vojvodina-

TBD-

Ajax-

Shelbourne-

TBD-

Kalju3

Linfield2

FCSB-

TBD-

FK Auda Riga-

Aluminij-

TBD-

Dinamo Tirana4

FC Astana2

Zimbru Chisinau-

TBD-

Noah-

AF Elbasani1

BATE2

TBD-

Sion-

Zeleznicar Pancevo-

TBD-

Braga-

Neftci Baku-

TBD-

Din. Minsk2

Sileks1

Valur-

TBD-

Zrinjski-

GAIS-

TBD-

Nordsjaelland-

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv-

TBD-

Ludogorets-

Zilina-

TBD-

GKS Katowice-

AEK Larnaca-

TBD-

Beitar Jerusalem-

Decic1

FK Liepaja3

TBD-

Austria Vienna-

Alashkert4

Yelimay Semey3

TBD-

CFR Cluj-

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj-

TBD-

Brann-

Dila Gori3

Virtus2

TBD-

Apollon Limassol-

Lugano-

TBD-

Dukagjini-

NSI Runavik3

Hamrun2

TBD-

Koper-

Rakow Czestochowa-

TBD-

Valletta-

TBD-

HJK-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Motherwell-

TBD-

HB Torshavn-

Vllaznia2

Malisheva6

TBD-

Hibernian-

Bravo-

TBD-

Europa FC0

Shkendija Tetovo6

IFK Goteborg-

TBD-

Caernarfon0

Levadia10

LNZ Cherkasy-

TBD-

Gent-

FC Hegelmann1

Paide Linnameeskond4

Zira FK6

Torpedo Kutaisi0

Penybont0

FC Santa Coloma4

TBD-

Rapid Vienna-

Bohemians2

St Josephs0

Connahs Q.2

FC Ballkani3

TBD-

Debrecen-

TBD-

Marsaxlokk0

Pyunik Yerevan4

Polissya Zhytomyr-

TBD-

FC Copenhagen-

Varazdin-

TBD-

Jablonec-

Glentoran1

RFS4

TBD-

Vestri-

Rijeka-

TBD-

Derry City-

Vikingur3

Stjarnan5

Differdange1

Ilves3

TBD-

Dun. Streda-

TBD-

Velez Mostar2

Milsami1

TBD-

Quarter-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Floriana1

Drita1

Borac Banja Luka3

Petrocub Hincesti0

ML Vitebsk3

Sutjeska0

Flora1

TNS0

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

Vardar2

Riga FC3

Bissen2

Gyor6

Basaksehir1

Inter Turku1

Vaduz4

Atletic Escaldes0

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Zalgiris0

TBD-

Partizan4

UNA Strassen0

FK Panevezys1

Tobol1

Paks1

Panathinaikos2

Spartak Trnava0

CSKA 1948 Sofia0

Vojvodina1

Ajax4

Shelbourne5

Kalju2

FCSB2

FK Auda Riga3

Aluminij1

Dinamo Tirana1

Zimbru Chisinau1

Noah1

BATE1

Sion1

Zeleznicar Pancevo0

Braga1

Neftci Baku2

Din. Minsk4

Valur1

Zrinjski0

GAIS1

Nordsjaelland0

TBD-

Hapoel Tel Aviv2

Ludogorets0

Zilina2

GKS Katowice1

AEK Larnaca0

Beitar Jerusalem1

FK Liepaja0

Austria Vienna2

Alashkert1

CFR Cluj1

TBD-

Universitatea Cluj2

Brann2

Dila Gori0

Apollon Limassol4

Lugano1

Dukagjini0

NSI Runavik0

Koper2

Rakow Czestochowa3

Valletta1

TBD-

HJK5

Coleraine0

Motherwell2

HB Torshavn0

Malisheva2

Hibernian0

Bravo2

Shkendija Tetovo1

IFK Goteborg1

Levadia2

LNZ Cherkasy0

Gent0

Paide Linnameeskond1

Zira FK0

FC Santa Coloma1

Rapid Vienna3

Bohemians2

FC Ballkani1

TBD-

Debrecen1

Pyunik Yerevan0

Polissya Zhytomyr3

FC Copenhagen3

Varazdin3

Jablonec2

RFS4

Vestri1

Rijeka1

Derry City0

Stjarnan1

Ilves0

TBD-

Dun. Streda1

Velez Mostar0

TBD-

Semi-finals

Tre Fiori-

TBD-

Inter Escaldes-

TBD-

Final

TBD-

Lugano vs Dukagjini

Europe

Lugano

Dukagjini

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Lugano Compare

Dukagjini Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano

Dukagjini

Tournament Bracket & Draw