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Lugano vs Young Boys

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Stadio di Cornaredo, Lugano
Lugano Logo

Lugano

1 - 0
FT
Young Boys Logo

Young Boys

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Fernandes E.
23'
Benito L.
46'
Sub
Virginius A. In: Colley E.
Out: Virginius A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Lugano and Young Boys finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lugano
35%
Draws
32%
Young Boys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lugano come out ahead of Young Boys on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lugano's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lugano Clean Sheet 10%
Young Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano Young Boys
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.21 2.78
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Super League
Lugano vs Young Boys
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Young Boys vs Lugano
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Young Boys
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Young Boys vs Lugano
3:1
May 24, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Young Boys
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Steffen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Young Boys Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano 65 / 100
Young Boys 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano Young Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lugano scored in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Lugano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Young Boys conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lugano VS Young Boys
4 Goals Scored 2.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano

(Home)
30 Aug
Sion
1 : 2
Lugano
27 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 1
Lugano
20 Aug
Lugano
2 : 1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
16 Aug
Vedeggio
1 : 10
Lugano
13 Aug
NSI Runavik
2 : 2
Lugano
Page 1 of 6

Young Boys

(Away)
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
23 Aug
Young Boys
4 : 2
Vaduz
15 Aug
Liestal
0 : 4
Young Boys
08 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 2
Young Boys
01 Aug
Thun
0 : 6
Young Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 38 24 3 11 80:52 75
2 St. Gallen 38 20 10 8 72:47 70
3 Lugano 38 19 10 9 59:42 67
4 Sion 38 16 15 7 63:40 63
5 Basel 38 16 8 14 55:58 56
6 Young Boys 38 15 10 13 80:69 55
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)