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Lugazi vs BUL Prediction & H2H Stats

Uganda Uganda

Premier League
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lugazi host BUL in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Lugazi at 0.48 goals for, 1.21 against; BUL at 1.24 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Lugazi have won 1 to BUL's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.13) back BUL to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lugazi
15%
Draws
57%
BUL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BUL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BUL come out ahead of Lugazi on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on BUL taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 20%
BUL Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugazi BUL
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.48 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
BUL vs Lugazi
0:0
Jan 27, 2026 Premier League
Lugazi vs BUL
2:1
Apr 29, 2025 Premier League
BUL vs Lugazi
4:0
Jan 3, 2025 Premier League
Lugazi vs BUL
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugazi 20 / 100
BUL 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugazi BUL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BUL has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lugazi found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Lugazi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugazi VS BUL
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugazi

(Home)
16 Sept
Lugazi
0 : 2
Police
09 Sept
Entebbe UPPC
0 : 1
Lugazi
01 Sept
NEC FC
3 : 1
Lugazi
29 Aug
Lugazi
2 : 1
Kigezi HomeBoyz
23 May
Lugazi
0 : 1
Maroons
Page 1 of 6

BUL

(Away)
15 Sept
BUL
2 : 1
Blacks Power
08 Sept
BUL
4 : 1
Ntugasaze
03 Sept
Kataka
1 : 4
BUL
30 Aug
BUL
1 : 0
Express FC
23 May
Entebbe UPPC
4 : 0
BUL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BUL 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 NEC FC 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
3 Villa 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Blacks Power 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 Police 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
6 Entebbe UPPC 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Lugazi 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 UPDF FC 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
9 Express FC 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
10 Kampala City 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
11 Vipers 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
12 Maroons 4 1 0 3 5:6 3
13 Uganda Revenue 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Kitara 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Mbarara City 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Kataka 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
17 Kigezi HomeBoyz 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
18 Ntugasaze 4 0 0 4 2:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2027/2028 (Main)