Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugo B vs Noia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Lugo B Logo

Lugo B

0 - 0
FT
Noia Logo

Noia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Lugo B and Noia finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lugo B
20%
Draws
34%
Noia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugo B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Lugo B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%
Noia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo B Noia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.2 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Noia
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Lugo B
1:1
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Lugo B
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Noia
1:0
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Noia vs Lugo B
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 95 / 100
Noia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo B Noia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Noia has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Lugo B's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Lugo B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Noia's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS Noia
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 6

Noia

(Away)
10 May
Noia
1 : 5
Gran Pena
03 May
Silva SD
5 : 2
Noia
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Cambados
0 : 3
Noia
12 Apr
Noia
0 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)