Sport Picks
Lugo B vs Racing Club Villalbes
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
51'
51'
Doumbouya I.
(Penalty)
88'
88'
Miguez B.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Lugo B and Racing Club Villalbes finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Racing Club Villalbes carry the better recent record into this one.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Lugo B taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lugo B | Racing Club Villalbes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Lugo B
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:1
May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Racing Club Villalbes
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Lugo B
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lugo B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Racing Club Villalbes Compare
Top Goalscorer Miguez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lugo B 95 / 100
Racing Club Villalbes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lugo B Racing Club Villalbes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lugo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lugo B scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Lugo B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Racing Club Villalbes has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lugo B VS Racing Club Villalbes
1.57 Goals Scored 0.88
0.57 Goals Conceded 1.13
43% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lugo B
(Home) 10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1 Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1 Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4 Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0 Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0 Gran Pena
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1 Barbadas-Bentraces
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0 Gran Pena
28 Mar
Lugo B
1 : 2 Celtiga
19 Mar
Lugo B
1 : 1 CD Boiro
08 Mar
Lugo B
1 : 0 Compostela
Page 1 of 3
Racing Club Villalbes
(Away) 27 Sept
CD Boiro
1 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
19 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
3 : 2 Celtiga
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3 Racing Club Villalbes
05 Sept
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0 Atletico Arteixo
23 May
Compostela
6 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CD Boiro
1 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
13 Sept
Montaneros
2 : 3 Racing Club Villalbes
23 May
Compostela
6 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
19 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1 Racing Club Villalbes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arosa SC | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 58:35 | 70 |
| 2 | Compostela | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 4 | Estradense | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 46:33 | 53 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 36:29 | 52 |
| 6 | Gran Pena | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 57:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Somozas | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 37:32 | 51 |
| 8 | CD Boiro | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45:29 | 51 |
| 9 | Lugo B | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 48 |
| 10 | Montaneros | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 48:42 | 48 |
| 11 | Barco | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Alondras | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Celtiga | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 47:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 27:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Silva SD | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:48 | 36 |
| 16 | Cambados | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 24:43 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 28:57 | 25 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25:69 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
