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Lugo B vs Somozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alcalde A.
35' Event
Nunez A.
53' Event
Perez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lugo B
35%
Draws
28%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Lugo B average 1.2 goals a game right now, well clear of Somozas's 1.
  • Win probability leans Lugo B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%
Somozas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo B Somozas
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Somozas
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Lugo B
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Somozas
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Lugo B
1:2
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Somozas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcalde A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naval A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 95 / 100
Somozas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo B Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugo B's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Somozas has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lugo B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS Somozas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
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Somozas

(Away)
20 Sept
Somozas
1 : 1
Pontevedra B
13 Sept
Lalin
1 : 0
Somozas
06 Sept
Somozas
0 : 0
Portonovo SD
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)