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Lugo B vs Somozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Alcalde A.
35' Event
Nunez A.
53' Event
Perez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lugo B
6%
Draws
4%
Somozas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Somozas have won more games recently than Lugo B.
  • Win probability leans Lugo B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 68%
Somozas Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo B Somozas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Somozas
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Lugo B
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Somozas
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Somozas vs Lugo B
1:2
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Somozas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcalde A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Somozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naval A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 95 / 100
Somozas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo B Somozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugo B's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Somozas has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lugo B has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS Somozas
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 6

Somozas

(Away)
10 May
Somozas
2 : 2
CD Boiro
03 May
Barco
1 : 2
Somozas
26 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Compostela
19 Apr
Estradense
2 : 1
Somozas
12 Apr
Somozas
1 : 1
Viveiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arosa SC342010458:3570
2Compostela341911455:2868
3Atletico Arteixo341610854:4458
4Estradense341411946:3353
5Racing Club Villalbes341313836:2952
6Gran Pena341312957:4251
7Somozas341312937:3251
8CD Boiro341312945:2951
9Lugo B3412121041:3548
10Montaneros3412121048:4248
11Barco341371435:4146
12Alondras341291345:4845
13Celtiga341171647:4840
14Viveiro349111427:4138
15Silva SD34991636:4836
16Cambados344141624:4326
17Noia34672128:5725
18Barbadas-Bentraces34472325:6919
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)