Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugo vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Leon I.
34'
Llorente E.
57'
Sub
Arcos A. In: Gallastegi J.
Out: Arcos A.

AI Match Summary

Lugo in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Lugo
20%
Draws
28%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Coria lately — more wins on the board than Lugo.
  • Model gives Lugo a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lugo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo CD Coria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs CD Coria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo Compare

Top Goalscorer Berzal G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Coria Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo 68 / 100
CD Coria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Lugo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lugo found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: CD Coria conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lugo VS CD Coria
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo

(Home)
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
30 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 3
Lugo
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
15 Aug
Lugo
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
14 Aug
CD Coria
2 : 2
CD Extremadura
11 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
0 : 2
CD Coria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Cacereno 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
3 Lugo 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
5 Real Union 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
6 Mirandes 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Pontevedra 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
8 Racing Club Ferrol 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9 Ponferradina 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
10 Leonesa 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
11 Deportivo Fabril 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
12 Real Aviles 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
13 CD Coria 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
14 Zamora 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
15 Barakaldo 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 AD Merida 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
17 CD Extremadura 4 1 0 3 2:4 3
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
19 Arenas Getxo 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
20 UD Ourense 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)