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Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Copa Presidente
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Luis Angel Firpo at 1.59 goals for, 0.86 against; Alianza FC at 1.23 for, 1.35 against. Head-to-head, Luis Angel Firpo have won 1 to Alianza FC's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.19) back Luis Angel Firpo to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Luis Angel Firpo
35%
Draws
23%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Luis Angel Firpo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Luis Angel Firpo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Luis Angel Firpo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Alianza FC
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Copa Presidente
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 7, 2026 Copa Presidente
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 4, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:2
Sep 17, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 76 / 100
Alianza FC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luis Angel Firpo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Luis Angel Firpo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alianza FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Alianza FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Batanecos 0
Luis Angel Firpo 5
Alianza FC 4
Metapan 2
Municipal Limeno 2
El Roble de Ilobasco 1
Aguila 8
Izalco 3
FAS 9
Dragon 2
Platense Municipal 1
Fuerte San Francisco 2
Cacahuatique 3
Hercules 2
Inter Santa Tecla 6
Zacatecoluca FC 1
Quarter-finals
Luis Angel Firpo -
Alianza FC -
Municipal Limeno -
Aguila -
FAS -
Fuerte San Francisco -
Cacahuatique -
Inter Santa Tecla -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -