Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luis Angel Firpo vs Hercules

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Urbina M.
11'
Rivera R.
18' Event
Diaz N.

AI Match Summary

Luis Angel Firpo in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Luis Angel Firpo
33%
Draws
40%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo have won more games recently than Hercules.
  • Win probability leans Hercules's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Luis Angel Firpo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 20%
Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Hercules
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Hercules vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Hercules
3:2
Nov 6, 2025 Primera Division
Hercules vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:3
Sep 4, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Hercules
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbina M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosales D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 28 / 100
Hercules 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Hercules

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luis Angel Firpo scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Hercules let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Solid form: Luis Angel Firpo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Hercules
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter F.A.22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213