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Luis Angel Firpo vs Hercules

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Urbina M.
11'
Rivera R.
18' Event
Diaz N.

AI Match Summary

Luis Angel Firpo in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Luis Angel Firpo
35%
Draws
32%
Hercules
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo have won more games recently than Hercules.
  • Win probability leans Luis Angel Firpo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Luis Angel Firpo have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 20%
Hercules Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Hercules
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Hercules vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:2
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Hercules
3:2
Nov 6, 2025 Primera Division
Hercules vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:3
Sep 4, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Hercules
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Hercules Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbina M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosales D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 42 / 100
Hercules 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luis Angel Firpo scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

Hercules let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Solid form: Luis Angel Firpo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 7

Hercules

(Away)
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Platense Municipal
1 : 1
Hercules
23 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
19 Apr
Hercules
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
15 Apr
Cacahuatique
1 : 2
Hercules
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 22 16 5 1 49:16 53
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 5 4 34:20 44
3 Alianza FC 22 11 4 7 36:30 37
4 Inter Santa Tecla 22 10 6 6 27:25 36
5 Municipal Limeno 22 10 5 7 33:21 35
6 Aguila 22 10 5 7 27:24 35
7 Metapan 22 6 9 7 23:30 27
8 Cacahuatique 22 6 8 8 24:28 26
9 Platense Municipal 22 4 8 10 24:31 20
10 Hercules 22 4 7 11 27:43 19
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 2 8 12 18:35 14
12 Zacatecoluca FC 22 3 4 15 23:42 13
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)