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Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lumezzane host AlbinoLeffe in the Serie C - Group A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Lumezzane at 1.13 goals for, 0.87 against; AlbinoLeffe at 1.55 for, 1.03 against. Past meetings favor Lumezzane slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Lumezzane. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Lumezzane
35%
Draws
40%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe have won more games recently than Lumezzane.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 16%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 31 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlbinoLeffe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

AlbinoLeffe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lumezzane went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS AlbinoLeffe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
Page 1 of 6

AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 8 7 0 1 14:4 21
2 Union Brescia 8 4 4 0 14:6 16
3 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
4 Arzignano 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 AlbinoLeffe 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
8 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
9 Dolomiti Bellunesi 8 2 4 2 7:7 10
10 Desenzano Calvina 8 2 4 2 6:7 10
11 Novara 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
12 Pro Vercelli 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
13 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
14 Lumezzane 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
15 Pergolettese 8 1 5 2 3:5 8
16 Carpi 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 7 1 3 3 7:13 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)