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Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Paghera F.
46'
Sub
Garattoni A. In: Simonelli T.
Out: Garattoni A.
46'
Sub
Ferro M. In: Iori M.
Out: Ferro M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lumezzane
35%
Draws
32%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe have won more games recently than Lumezzane.
  • Win probability leans Lumezzane's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 16%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Monachello G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannini E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 36 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: AlbinoLeffe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Lumezzane has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS AlbinoLeffe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)