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Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Paghera F.
46'
Sub
Garattoni A. In: Simonelli T.
Out: Garattoni A.
46'
Sub
Ferro M. In: Iori M.
Out: Ferro M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lumezzane
39%
Draws
30%
AlbinoLeffe
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe average 1.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Lumezzane's 1.63.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 18%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane AlbinoLeffe
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 14 8
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
2:0
Nov 10, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Lumezzane
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Monachello G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Giannini E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 32 / 100
AlbinoLeffe 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane AlbinoLeffe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: AlbinoLeffe conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Lumezzane has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS AlbinoLeffe
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0
Lumezzane
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0
Lumezzane
03 May
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Alcione Milano
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1
Virtus Verona
19 Apr
Lecco
2 : 2
Lumezzane
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AlbinoLeffe

(Away)
02 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Inter U23
29 Jul
Arezzo
1 : 3
AlbinoLeffe
25 Jul
Pavia
0 : 4
AlbinoLeffe
25 Apr
Alcione Milano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
19 Apr
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Triestina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)