Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lumezzane vs Caronnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mauri M.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Poledri M.

AI Match Summary

Lumezzane in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lumezzane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lumezzane
20%
Draws
0%
Caronnese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lumezzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lumezzane lately — more wins on the board than Caronnese.
  • Model gives Lumezzane a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 20%
Caronnese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane Caronnese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.23 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Lumezzane vs Caronnese
2:0
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Caronnese vs Lumezzane
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Poledri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Caronnese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 76 / 100
Caronnese 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane Caronnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lumezzane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caronnese let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Caronnese lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lumezzane found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
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Caronnese

(Away)
07 May
Caronnese
1 : 3
Folgore Caratese
30 Apr
Lumezzane
2 : 0
Caronnese
23 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Ponte San Pietro
16 Apr
Caronnese
1 : 2
Varese FC
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)