Sport Picks
Lumezzane vs Cittadella
Italy
Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane 
Match Events
44'
44'
Rabbi S.
46'
46'
Sub
Ghillani A. In: Ferro M.
Out: Ghillani A.
53'
53'
Sub
Rabbi S. In: Castelli D.
Out: Rabbi S.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cittadella
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cittadella lately — more wins on the board than Lumezzane.
- Win probability leans Cittadella's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 24%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lumezzane | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Cittadella
1:2
Sep 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
0:1
Mar 20, 2016 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Lumezzane
1:0
Nov 7, 2015 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Cittadella
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lumezzane Compare
Top Goalscorer Napolitano G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Cittadella Compare
Top Goalscorer Falcinelli D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perretta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lumezzane 29 / 100
Cittadella 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lumezzane Cittadella
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lumezzane's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Cittadella conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Lumezzane has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lumezzane VS Cittadella
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lumezzane
(Home) 22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0 Lumezzane
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Crema
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0 Lumezzane
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0 Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Crema
03 May
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Alcione Milano
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1 Virtus Verona
11 Apr
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella
(Away) 22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
15 Aug
Cittadella
3 : 2 Atalanta U23
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2 Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1 Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1 Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1 Cittadella
19 Apr
Novara
0 : 1 Cittadella
03 Apr
Union Brescia
2 : 1 Cittadella
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
