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Lumezzane vs Renate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
2 - 3
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ebone T.
45' Event
Kerrigan L.
53' Event
Rocca M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lumezzane
35%
Draws
24%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lumezzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Renate have won more games recently than Lumezzane.
  • Win probability leans Lumezzane's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Renate arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Renate, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 18%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane Renate
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
2:2
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Lumezzane vs Renate
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Lumezzane
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebone T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rocca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerrigan L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 41 / 100
Renate 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Renate let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Lumezzane went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS Renate
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0
Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2
Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Renate

(Away)
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1
Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -