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Luminense vs IAPE

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense
Luminense Logo

Luminense

0 - 1
FT
IAPE Logo

IAPE

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ronald Makalysten
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

IAPE in this Maranhense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored IAPE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Luminense
30%
Draws
23%
IAPE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • IAPE have won more games recently than Luminense.
  • Model gives Luminense a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Luminense Clean Sheet 68%
IAPE Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luminense IAPE
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Maranhense
Luminense vs IAPE
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luminense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

IAPE Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronald Makalysten
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luminense 77 / 100
IAPE 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luminense IAPE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luminense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luminense scored in 63% of their last 16 outings.

Difficult form: IAPE registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

IAPE has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Luminense VS IAPE
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luminense

(Home)
01 Feb
Maranhao
1 : 0
Luminense
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
Sampaio Correa
1 : 1
Luminense
22 Jan
Luminense
0 : 1
IAPE
18 Jan
Luminense
0 : 3
Moto Club
Page 1 of 4

IAPE

(Away)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
2 Maranhao 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
3 Sampaio Correa 7 2 5 0 13:5 11
4 IAPE 7 3 2 2 4:3 11
5 Luminense 7 3 1 3 6:6 10
6 Tuntum 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
7 Imperatriz 7 1 3 3 2:5 6
8 ITZ Sport 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - Maranhense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense (Relegation)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 2027 (Main)