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Luminense vs Moto Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense
Luminense Logo

Luminense

0 - 3
FT
Moto Club Logo

Moto Club

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Jean
38'
Daniel Bolt
63' Event
Edrean
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moto Club in this Maranhense matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moto Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Luminense
20%
Draws
16%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luminense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Luminense haven't matched Moto Club's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Luminense a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Maranhense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Luminense Clean Sheet 68%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luminense Moto Club
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 11
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Maranhense
Luminense vs Moto Club
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luminense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Moto Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edrean
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luminense 77 / 100
Moto Club 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luminense Moto Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luminense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luminense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Moto Club registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Moto Club conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luminense VS Moto Club
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luminense

(Home)
01 Feb
Maranhao
1 : 0
Luminense
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
Sampaio Correa
1 : 1
Luminense
22 Jan
Luminense
0 : 1
IAPE
18 Jan
Luminense
0 : 3
Moto Club
Page 1 of 4

Moto Club

(Away)
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
2 Maranhao 7 4 1 2 9:7 13
3 Sampaio Correa 7 2 5 0 13:5 11
4 IAPE 7 3 2 2 4:3 11
5 Luminense 7 3 1 3 6:6 10
6 Tuntum 7 2 3 2 8:9 9
7 Imperatriz 7 1 3 3 2:5 6
8 ITZ Sport 7 0 1 6 1:14 1
Promotion - Maranhense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense (Relegation)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 2027 (Main)