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Lumwana Radiants vs NAPSA Stars

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tolopa M.
85' Event
Kayombo E.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Lumwana Radiants and NAPSA Stars finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NAPSA Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lumwana Radiants
33%
Draws
40%
NAPSA Stars
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: NAPSA Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • NAPSA Stars's 0.63 goals per match outpaces what Lumwana Radiants have produced (0).
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on NAPSA Stars taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 25%
NAPSA Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumwana Radiants NAPSA Stars
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 12
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs NAPSA Stars
0:2
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Lumwana Radiants
0:1
Jan 21, 2023 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Lumwana Radiants
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs NAPSA Stars
1:0
Jun 2, 2021 Super League
NAPSA Stars vs Lumwana Radiants
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

NAPSA Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Tolopa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kayombo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumwana Radiants 29 / 100
NAPSA Stars 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumwana Radiants NAPSA Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Lumwana Radiants scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: NAPSA Stars conceded in 57% of 35 recent games.

Lumwana Radiants went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS NAPSA Stars
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515