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Lun Lok vs Casa de Portugal

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Cheong K.
30' Event
Lin J.
81' Event
Cheong K.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2022 game between Lun Lok and Casa de Portugal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lun Lok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lun Lok
6%
Draws
90%
Casa de Portugal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Casa de Portugal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lun Lok come out ahead of Casa de Portugal on wins alone.
  • Casa de Portugal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%
Casa de Portugal Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lun Lok Casa de Portugal
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 26 24
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 4.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Lun Lok
1:3
Jan 29, 2022 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Casa de Portugal
3:0
Jun 12, 2021 Elite League
Casa de Portugal vs Lun Lok
1:3
Mar 13, 2021 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Casa de Portugal
2:2
Oct 3, 2020 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Casa de Portugal
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheong K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Casa de Portugal Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lun Lok 10 / 100
Casa de Portugal 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lun Lok Casa de Portugal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casa de Portugal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Casa de Portugal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Lun Lok scored in 67% of their last 39 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lun Lok VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO16160095:448
2Monte Carlo16130383:1539
3Benfica16112354:1335
4Cheng Fung1681740:2525
5Tak Chun Ka I1653825:4818
6Lun Lok1653819:4518
7CFB Macau1635813:6314
8Sporting Macau1615109:458
9Casa de Portugal1601156:861
10Policia00000:00