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Lun Lok vs Chiba

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ka Long C.
6' Event
Mariojouls S.
23' Event
Mafus S.

AI Match Summary

Chiba in this Elite League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lun Lok
15%
Draws
85%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chiba lately — more wins on the board than Lun Lok.
  • Win probability leans Chiba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Chiba have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%
Chiba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lun Lok Chiba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 9
Goals Scored 1.1 2.73
Goals Conceded 5.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Lun Lok
3:0
Jun 21, 2025 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Chiba
1:9
Apr 26, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Lun Lok
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheang Chi-Kam
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariojouls S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mafus S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lun Lok 10 / 100
Chiba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lun Lok Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.33 goals when they meet.

Lun Lok's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chiba let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Chiba's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lun Lok VS Chiba
0 Goals Scored 2.75
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lun Lok

(Home)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
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Chiba

(Away)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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