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Lun Lok vs Must IPO - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Lun Lok Logo

Lun Lok

0 - 7
FT
Must IPO Logo

Must IPO

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Maronesi W.
30' Event
Araujo B.
36' Event
Maronesi W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Must IPO in this Elite League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Must IPO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lun Lok
15%
Draws
85%
Must IPO
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Must IPO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Must IPO have won more games recently than Lun Lok.
  • Must IPO are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Must IPO have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%
Must IPO Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lun Lok Must IPO
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 28
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 3
Goals Scored 1.1 5.03
Goals Conceded 5.23 0.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 3.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Must IPO
0:7
Jun 30, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Must IPO
1:9
May 5, 2024 Elite League
Must IPO vs Lun Lok
9:0
Mar 8, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Must IPO
1:10
Jun 11, 2023 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Must IPO
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lun Lok Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Must IPO Compare

Top Goalscorer Maronesi W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.06
Avg xA / game 1.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lun Lok 10 / 100
Must IPO 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lun Lok Must IPO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Must IPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 7.80 goals as a typical output.

Lun Lok scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Must IPO conceded in 45% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Must IPO
0 Goals Scored 5.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lun Lok

(Home)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

Must IPO

(Away)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
27 Jun
Artilheiros
1 : 10
Must IPO
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 7 2 0 39:5 23
2 Shao Jiang 9 7 1 1 44:6 22
3 University of Macau 9 6 1 2 25:10 19
4 Cheng Fung 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
5 Benfica 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Chiba 9 3 1 5 19:26 10
7 Gala 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
8 Hang Sai 9 2 1 6 17:26 7
9 Lun Lok 9 1 0 8 10:40 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 0 9 1:57 0
Promotion - Elite League 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2025 (Relegation Group)