Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lun Lok vs Policia

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021 Centro Desportivo Olímpico - Estádio, Taipa
Lun Lok Logo

Lun Lok

1 - 1
FT
Policia Logo

Policia

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Da Silva F.
90' Event
Cheong L.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Elite League 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lun Lok
15%
Draws
85%
Policia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lun Lok haven't matched Policia's recent run of results.
  • Policia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%
Policia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lun Lok Policia
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.04
Goals Conceded 4.88 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Lun Lok
0:3
May 29, 2021 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Policia
1:1
Nov 22, 2020 Elite League
Policia vs Lun Lok
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Policia Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lun Lok 10 / 100
Policia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lun Lok Policia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Policia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lun Lok scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Policia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Policia has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lun Lok VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lun Lok

(Home)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 7

Policia

(Away)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 18 18 0 0 115:4 54
2 Benfica 18 15 0 3 91:15 45
3 Tak Chun Ka I 18 11 2 5 29:30 35
4 Cheng Fung 18 10 0 8 40:44 30
5 Lun Lok 18 6 3 9 26:55 21
6 Sporting Macau 18 6 2 10 33:45 20
7 Policia 18 4 5 9 17:33 17
8 Casa de Portugal 18 4 4 10 22:68 16
9 Monte Carlo 18 2 6 10 14:46 12
10 Hang Sai 18 2 2 14 12:59 8
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)