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Lupa Frascati vs Angri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
D'Angelo A.
59' Event
Varsi A.
69' Event
Barone V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Lupa Frascati and Angri finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Angri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lupa Frascati
20%
Draws
30%
Angri
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lupa Frascati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Lupa Frascati carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lupa Frascati's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 68%
Angri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupa Frascati Angri
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.3 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Frascati vs Angri
1:2
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Angri vs Lupa Frascati
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lupa Frascati Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Angelo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Angri Compare

Top Goalscorer Varsi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barone V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupa Frascati 95 / 100
Angri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupa Frascati Angri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupa Frascati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Angri has conceded goals in 92% of their last 36 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lupa Frascati scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Lupa Frascati has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Angri
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupa Frascati

(Home)
14 May
Paganese
3 : 2
Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1
Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1
Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1
Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Lupa Frascati
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Angri

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Nocerina
6 : 0
Angri
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Angri
2 : 3
Citta di Fasano
06 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
4 : 0
Angri
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)