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Lupa Frascati vs Pomezia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Sabelli P.
73' Event
D'Angelo A.
84' Event
Traditi L.

AI Match Summary

Lupa Frascati in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lupa Frascati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lupa Frascati
20%
Draws
44%
Pomezia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pomezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lupa Frascati lately — more wins on the board than Pomezia.
  • Lupa Frascati are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 68%
Pomezia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupa Frascati Pomezia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.3 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Frascati vs Pomezia
4:0
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Pomezia vs Lupa Frascati
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lupa Frascati Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabelli P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Angelo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pomezia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupa Frascati 86 / 100
Pomezia 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupa Frascati Pomezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupa Frascati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pomezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Lupa Frascati scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Lupa Frascati stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lupa Frascati VS Pomezia
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupa Frascati

(Home)
14 May
Paganese
3 : 2
Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1
Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1
Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1
Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Lupa Frascati
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Pomezia

(Away)
21 May
Angri
3 : 0
Pomezia
14 May
SS Nola 1925
0 : 1
Pomezia
07 May
Pomezia
2 : 5
SS Nola 1925
30 Apr
Paganese
2 : 0
Pomezia
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)