Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lupa Roma vs Nuorese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 game between Lupa Roma and Nuorese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nuorese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lupa Roma
15%
Draws
51%
Nuorese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nuorese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Lupa Roma haven't matched Nuorese's recent run of results.
  • Lupa Roma are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lupa Roma Clean Sheet 11%
Nuorese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupa Roma Nuorese
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Roma vs Nuorese
0:2
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Nuorese vs Lupa Roma
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupa Roma 56 / 100
Nuorese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupa Roma Nuorese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupa Roma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lupa Roma's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Nuorese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Nuorese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lupa Roma VS Nuorese
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 9
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupa Roma

(Home)
05 May
Lupa Roma
1 : 2
Lanusei Calcio
28 Apr
SFF Atletico (Inactive)
7 : 1
Lupa Roma
18 Apr
Lupa Roma
1 : 2
Avellino
14 Apr
Citta di Anagni
1 : 1
Lupa Roma
07 Apr
Lupa Roma
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
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Nuorese

(Away)
16 Nov
Nuorese
0 : 9
Cagliari
20 May
Lanusei Calcio
2 : 0
Nuorese
06 May
Nuorese
2 : 0
Cassino
29 Apr
Latina
1 : 0
Nuorese
22 Apr
Nuorese
3 : 2
Ostiamare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rieti 34 22 9 3 76:29 75
2 Albalonga 34 20 10 4 60:28 70
3 SFF Atletico (Inactive) 34 19 9 6 73:37 66
4 Trastevere Calcio 34 18 8 8 60:43 62
5 Latina 34 17 10 7 55:42 61
6 Aprilia 34 14 12 8 52:42 54
7 Cassino 34 15 7 12 50:48 52
8 Lupa Roma 34 12 10 12 47:49 44
9 Monterosi 34 12 8 14 47:42 44
10 Budoni Calcio 34 13 4 17 40:41 43
11 Ostiamare 34 11 9 14 47:56 42
12 Flaminia 34 11 8 15 42:48 41
13 Latte Dolce 34 10 10 14 39:45 40
14 Lanusei Calcio 34 11 4 19 41:55 37
15 Nuorese 34 9 8 17 28:46 35
16 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 7 7 20 28:68 28
17 Tortoli 34 7 5 22 36:65 26
18 San Teodoro 34 5 8 21 47:84 23
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2017/2018 (Play Offs)