Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC

1 - 0

Bassano Virtus

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Diallo C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Luparense FC in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Luparense FC

17%

Draws

70%

Bassano Virtus

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bassano Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Bassano Virtus has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Luparense FC.
Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Bassano Virtus.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group C provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Luparense FC Clean Sheet 15%

Bassano Virtus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Luparense FC	Bassano Virtus
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	11	14
Losses	10	5
Goals Scored	1.5	2
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Bassano Virtus

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Bassano Virtus vs Luparense FC

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Bassano Virtus vs Luparense FC

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Bassano Virtus

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Bassano Virtus

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Bassano Virtus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 15 / 100

Bassano Virtus 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Luparense FC Bassano Virtus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Bassano Virtus let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Luparense FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bassano Virtus lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Bassano Virtus

1.5 Goals Scored 2

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treviso	34	21	6	7	50:25	69
2	Legnago Salus	34	18	7	9	63:41	61
3	Clodiense	34	17	9	8	47:29	60
4	Este	34	14	13	7	40:29	55
5	Mestre	34	14	13	7	37:29	55
6	Cjarlins Muzane	34	13	12	9	41:39	51
7	Brian Lignano	34	16	8	10	58:34	50
8	Conegliano	34	13	11	10	36:28	50
9	Bassano Virtus	34	12	14	8	37:27	50
10	Campodarsego	34	13	9	12	37:34	48
11	Altavilla	34	10	16	8	28:24	46
12	Calvi Noale	34	13	5	16	38:40	44
13	Luparense FC	34	10	13	11	36:39	43
14	Vigasio	34	8	14	12	44:46	38
15	San Luigi	34	8	10	16	33:54	34
16	FC Obermais	34	8	10	16	33:46	34
17	Adriese	34	5	6	23	24:62	18
18	Portogruaro	34	1	8	25	25:81	11