Sport Picks
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
42'
42'
Perotta N.
71'
71'
Paudice L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Luparense FC and Montecchio Maggiore finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Luparense FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Luparense FC come out ahead of Montecchio Maggiore on wins alone.
- Model gives Luparense FC a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Montecchio Maggiore have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luparense FC | Montecchio Maggiore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Luparense FC
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Luparense FC
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:3
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luparense FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Paudice L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Montecchio Maggiore Compare
Top Goalscorer Perotta N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Luparense FC 86 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Luparense FC Montecchio Maggiore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montecchio Maggiore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Luparense FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Luparense FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Luparense FC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Luparense FC
(Home) 03 May
Este
2 : 0 Luparense FC
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Vigasio
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1 Luparense FC
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2 Mestre
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1 Luparense FC
Page 1 of 8
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Vigasio
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2 Mestre
28 Mar
Luparense FC
1 : 1 San Luigi
15 Mar
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Altavilla
01 Mar
Luparense FC
1 : 2 Legnago Salus
Page 1 of 4
Montecchio Maggiore
(Away) 04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3 Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
30 Mar
Chions
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
02 Mar
Este
2 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
16 Feb
Villa Valle
2 : 3 Montecchio Maggiore
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)