Sport Picks
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
42'
42'
Perotta N.
71'
71'
Paudice L.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Luparense FC and Montecchio Maggiore finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luparense FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Luparense FC come out ahead of Montecchio Maggiore on wins alone.
- Model gives Luparense FC a 62% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Montecchio Maggiore have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Montecchio Maggiore Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luparense FC | Montecchio Maggiore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Luparense FC
1:0
Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Montecchio Maggiore vs Luparense FC
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:3
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Montecchio Maggiore
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luparense FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Paudice L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Montecchio Maggiore Compare
Top Goalscorer Perotta N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Luparense FC 95 / 100
Montecchio Maggiore 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Luparense FC Montecchio Maggiore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montecchio Maggiore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
Luparense FC's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Luparense FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Luparense FC VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Luparense FC
(Home) 20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0 Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1 Luparense FC
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1 Legnago Salus
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0 Luparense FC
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0 Virtus Bolzano
06 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 1 Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Vigasio
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2 Mestre
28 Mar
Luparense FC
1 : 1 San Luigi
Page 1 of 4
Montecchio Maggiore
(Away) 04 May
Montecchio Maggiore
1 : 3 Brusaporto
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
17 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 3 Calvi Noale
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
06 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
0 : 1 Brian Lignano
Page 1 of 6
27 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 1 Montecchio Maggiore
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
30 Mar
Chions
1 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
02 Mar
Este
2 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
16 Feb
Villa Valle
2 : 3 Montecchio Maggiore
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 65:39 | 78 |
| 2 | Treviso | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59:32 | 74 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 62:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Adriese | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 55:31 | 66 |
| 5 | Mestre | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 40:34 | 64 |
| 6 | Campodarsego | 38 | 15 | 17 | 6 | 52:36 | 62 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 46:37 | 60 |
| 8 | Luparense FC | 38 | 13 | 17 | 8 | 48:36 | 56 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 44:44 | 55 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:49 | 55 |
| 11 | Este | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 50:50 | 54 |
| 12 | Brian Lignano | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 45:49 | 48 |
| 13 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 44:44 | 47 |
| 14 | Bassano Virtus | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Portogruaro | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 16 | Caravaggio | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 42:54 | 41 |
| 17 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 42:55 | 40 |
| 18 | Chions | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 35:59 | 30 |
| 19 | Montecchio Maggiore | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:55 | 27 |
| 20 | Lavis | 38 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 25:91 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)
