Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lupe ole Soaga vs Auckland City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023 Luganville Soccer City Stadium, Luganville
Sat, May 20, 2023
0 - 3
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lupe ole Soaga host Auckland City in the OFC Champions League 2023. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Lupe ole Soaga have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Auckland City's 0.75 scored and 3 conceded. Past meetings favor Auckland City slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 20, 2023, ending 0:3. xG projections (2.10 - 0.93) back Auckland City to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lupe ole Soaga
11%
Draws
9%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lupe ole Soaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auckland City lately — more wins on the board than Lupe ole Soaga.
  • Model gives Lupe ole Soaga a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupe ole Soaga Auckland City
Matches Played 29 42
Wins 11 26
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 OFC Champions League
Lupe ole Soaga vs Auckland City
0:3
Mar 8, 2020 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs Lupe ole Soaga
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupe ole Soaga 76 / 100
Auckland City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupe ole Soaga Auckland City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lupe ole Soaga found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Auckland City conceded in 57% of 42 recent games.

Solid form: Lupe ole Soaga remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupe ole Soaga

(Home)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
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Auckland City

(Away)
04 Jul
Auckland City
3 : 0
Takapuna Afc
13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Auckland City
06 Dec
Auckland City
3 : 0
Coastal Spirit
30 Nov
Western Springs
1 : 3
Auckland City
22 Nov
Auckland City
2 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City33009:29
2Suva32019:36
3Solomon Warriors31024:63
4Lupe ole Soaga30031:120
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pirae32107:37
2Ifira Blackbird31113:44
3PNG Hekari31023:33
4Tiga Sport31021:43
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)