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Lupe ole Soaga vs Magenta

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Marin N.
20'
Wajoka J.
26' Event
Khouchaba C.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2017 game between Lupe ole Soaga and Magenta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Magenta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lupe ole Soaga
15%
Draws
46%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Magenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Magenta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lupe ole Soaga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lupe ole Soaga Clean Sheet 10%
Magenta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupe ole Soaga Magenta
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 2.83 2.39
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Lupe ole Soaga
2:0
Feb 25, 2017 OFC Champions League
Lupe ole Soaga vs Magenta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lupe ole Soaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Khouchaba C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hnautra Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupe ole Soaga 83 / 100
Magenta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupe ole Soaga Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lupe ole Soaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lupe ole Soaga scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Magenta conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lupe ole Soaga stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lupe ole Soaga VS Magenta
4.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupe ole Soaga

(Home)
20 May
Lupe ole Soaga
0 : 3
Auckland City
17 May
Solomon Warriors
3 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 May
Suva
6 : 0
Lupe ole Soaga
24 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
7 : 1
Tupapa
21 Feb
Lupe ole Soaga
9 : 0
Veitongo
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Magenta

(Away)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magenta 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Central Sport 3 2 0 1 12:7 6
3 Madang Fox 3 1 0 2 7:15 3
4 PNG Hekari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Hienghene Sport 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Ba 3 1 1 1 2:9 4
4 Puaikura 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Western United 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Lae City 3 1 0 2 8:9 3
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 0 3 3:18 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tefana 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Marist 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Rewa 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2017 (Play Offs)