Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Pisani N.
76'
76'
Vasilchik F.
90'
90'
Nwaogu C.
AI Match Summary
Swieqi in this FA Trophy 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swieqi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Swieqi have won more games recently than Luqa.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Swieqi taking it.
- Swieqi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Swieqi, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Luqa Clean Sheet 10%
Swieqi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Luqa | Swieqi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 2.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2024 Challenge League
Luqa vs Swieqi
0:4
Jan 14, 2024 FA Trophy
Luqa vs Swieqi
1:2
Oct 28, 2023 Challenge League
Luqa vs Swieqi
2:2
Feb 18, 2022 Challenge League
Luqa vs Swieqi
1:0
Oct 29, 2021 Challenge League
Swieqi vs Luqa
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Luqa Compare
Top Goalscorer Nwaogu C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Swieqi Compare
Top Goalscorer Pisani N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vasilchik F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Luqa 10 / 100
Swieqi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Luqa Swieqi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swieqi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Luqa scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Swieqi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Luqa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Swieqi
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Luqa
(Home) 05 May
St. Andrews
1 : 0 Luqa
28 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 3 Luqa
21 Apr
Luqa
2 : 2 St. Andrews
14 Apr
Zebbug
4 : 0 Luqa
06 Apr
Luqa
0 : 4 Swieqi
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21 Apr
Luqa
2 : 2 St. Andrews
06 Apr
Luqa
0 : 4 Swieqi
09 Mar
Luqa
0 : 1 Lija
11 Feb
Luqa
2 : 0 Msida
20 Jan
Luqa
4 : 2 Tarxien
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Swieqi
(Away) 18 Sept
Swieqi
3 : 2 Pieta
12 Sept
Attard
3 : 3 Swieqi
23 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 2 Birzebbuga
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1 Fgura
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1 Swieqi
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Attard
3 : 3 Swieqi
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1 Swieqi
14 Mar
Balzan FC
1 : 2 Swieqi
22 Feb
Pieta
1 : 3 Swieqi
08 Feb
Gudja
0 : 2 Swieqi
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
Zejtun 3
Kercem Ajax 2
Luqa -
TBD -
St. George's FC 1
Swieqi 5
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira -
TBD -
Oratory 0
Fgura 2
Hibernians -
TBD -
Melita 5
Qala Saints 7
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 1
Marsa 2
Msida 5
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Nadur 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Sirens -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Kirkop 1
Lija 2
Xewkija -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Senglea 2
Pieta 3
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
1/16-finals
Marsaxlokk 5
Zejtun 0
Luqa 1
Swieqi 2
Floriana 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Zabbar 1
Zebbug 2
Gzira 2
Fgura 0
Hibernians 2
Qala Saints 0
Santa Lucia 2
Marsa 0
Msida 1
Mgarr 3
Birkirkara 3
Attard 1
Nadur 1
Sirens 2
Hamrun 3
Lija 0
Xewkija 0
Gudja 3
Mosta FC 5
Pieta 1
Valletta 7
Ghajnsielem 1
Sliema 3
Marsaskala FC 0
Balzan FC 2
Zurrieq 1
1/8-finals
Marsaxlokk 3
Swieqi 0
Floriana 7
Zebbug 1
Gzira 1
Hibernians 0
Santa Lucia 3
Mgarr 4
Birkirkara 1
Sirens 0
Hamrun 3
Gudja 0
Mosta FC 2
Valletta 1
Sliema 1
Balzan FC 0
Quarter-finals
Marsaxlokk 0
Floriana 2
Gzira 2
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 3
Hamrun 2
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
Semi-finals
Floriana 3
Gzira 2
Birkirkara 0
Sliema 1
Final
Floriana 0
Sliema 1
