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Luqa vs Zabbar

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Rahman A.
30' Event
Soares R.
45' Event
Mosquera D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Zabbar in this Challenge League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zabbar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Luqa
35%
Draws
46%
Zabbar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zabbar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zabbar lately — more wins on the board than Luqa.
  • Model gives Zabbar a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Luqa Clean Sheet 18%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luqa Zabbar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2023 Challenge League
Luqa vs Zabbar
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luqa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Zabbar Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader David Oliveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luqa 20 / 100
Zabbar 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luqa Zabbar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zabbar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Luqa found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Zabbar has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Luqa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zabbar
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luqa

(Home)
05 May
St. Andrews
1 : 0
Luqa
28 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 3
Luqa
21 Apr
Luqa
2 : 2
St. Andrews
14 Apr
Zebbug
4 : 0
Luqa
06 Apr
Luqa
0 : 4
Swieqi
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Zabbar

(Away)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)