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Lura vs Madla IL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 3 - Group 5 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lura
30%
Draws
41%
Madla IL
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Madla IL have won more games recently than Lura.
  • Madla IL are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Lura Clean Sheet 10%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lura Madla IL
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.47 2.58
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2017 Division 3 - Group 3
Madla IL vs Lura
2:1
Jun 16, 2017 Division 3 - Group 3
Lura vs Madla IL
2:1
Aug 18, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Lura vs Madla IL
1:1
Apr 28, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Lura
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lura 22 / 100
Madla IL 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lura Madla IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lura's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Madla IL has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Lura has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Madla IL
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lura

(Home)
21 Oct
Lura
2 : 2
Brodd
14 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Lura
06 Oct
Lura
1 : 2
Viking 2
28 Sept
Madla IL
2 : 1
Lura
23 Sept
Lura
2 : 0
Tonsberg
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Madla IL

(Away)
04 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 1
Brodd
01 Oct
Madla IL
0 : 3
Viking
26 Sept
Akra
0 : 6
Madla IL
21 Sept
Madla IL
1 : 1
Haugesund 2
12 Sept
Hinna
1 : 4
Madla IL
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