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Lura vs Notodden 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2016 game between Lura and Notodden 2 finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lura
20%
Draws
0%
Notodden 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Notodden 2 haven't matched Lura's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lura Clean Sheet 18%
Notodden 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lura Notodden 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.66 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Notodden 2 vs Lura
0:2
May 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Lura vs Notodden 2
7:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lura 85 / 100
Notodden 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lura Notodden 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lura scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Notodden 2 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Notodden 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lura VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lura

(Home)
21 Oct
Lura
2 : 2
Brodd
14 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Lura
06 Oct
Lura
1 : 2
Viking 2
28 Sept
Madla IL
2 : 1
Lura
23 Sept
Lura
2 : 0
Tonsberg
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Notodden 2

(Away)
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
09 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Madla IL
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Notodden 2
25 Sept
Notodden 2
0 : 2
Viking 2
18 Sept
Eiger
4 : 0
Notodden 2
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