Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Ferreita C.
Own Goal
48'
48'
Magee D.
69'
69'
McCann P.
AI Match Summary
Lurgan Celtic in this Irish League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lurgan Celtic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lurgan Celtic lately — more wins on the board than Armagh.
- Lurgan Celtic are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Lurgan Celtic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Armagh, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
Armagh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lurgan Celtic | Armagh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 34 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 23 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.97 | 3.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 4, 2018 Irish League Cup
Lurgan Celtic vs Armagh
4:0
Apr 8, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Armagh
0:2
Mar 4, 2017 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Lurgan Celtic
3:0
Nov 19, 2016 NIFL Championship
Armagh vs Lurgan Celtic
1:3
Sep 3, 2016 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Armagh
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lurgan Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Magee D.
2 Goals Assists Leader McCann P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99
Armagh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lurgan Celtic 58 / 100
Armagh 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lurgan Celtic Armagh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Armagh let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Armagh has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Lurgan Celtic found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Armagh
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lurgan Celtic
(Home) 27 Aug
Crusaders
: Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
: Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3 Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
: St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1 Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3 Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
: St. Patricks Young
04 Aug
Lurgan Celtic
4 : 0 Armagh
28 Apr
Lurgan Celtic
0 : 5 Larne
17 Apr
Lurgan Celtic
0 : 3 Limavady
Page 1 of 3
Armagh
(Away) 12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5 Institute
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0 Armagh
22 Aug
Armagh
2 : 2 Glenavon
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0 Armagh
Page 1 of 7
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2 Armagh
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0 Armagh
15 Aug
Harland & Wolff
1 : 0 Armagh
11 Aug
Warrenpoint
2 : 0 Armagh
21 Apr
Ballinamallard
6 : 0 Armagh
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Banbridge 0
PSNI 1
Lurgan Celtic 4
Armagh 0
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Queens University 3
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Knockbreda 3
Dundela 1
TBD -
Newry City -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 4
PSNI 1
Lurgan Celtic 1
Ballinamallard 4
Coleraine 2
Ballyclare 1
Larne 2
Glentoran 3
Ards 3
Newington FC 2
Glenavon 0
Dergview 1
Harland & Wolff 4
Portstewart 3
Dollingstown 1
Ballymena 5
Dungannon 2
Limavady 1
Annagh 1
Warrenpoint 3
Carrick Rangers 6
Sport & Leisure 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Cliftonville 5
Portadown 3
Tobermore 0
Knockbreda 0
Newry City 1
Institute 5
Loughgall 1
Moyola 0
Linfield 8
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Ballinamallard 1
Coleraine 3
Glentoran 4
Ards 4
Dergview 1
Harland & Wolff 0
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 3
Warrenpoint 2
Carrick Rangers 2
Cliftonville 3
Portadown 2
Newry City 1
Institute 0
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 4
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 2
Cliftonville 1
Portadown 1
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 0
Ballymena 1
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Final
Ballymena 0
Linfield 1
