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Lurgan Celtic vs Dergview

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Arkinson A.
31' Event
Sproule A.
35' Event
Falconer G.

AI Match Summary

Dergview in this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dergview.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Lurgan Celtic
15%
Draws
21%
Dergview
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dergview lately — more wins on the board than Lurgan Celtic.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Lurgan Celtic taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dergview have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lurgan Celtic Dergview
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 3 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 0.84 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2018 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Lurgan Celtic
8:0
Mar 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Dergview
1:4
Nov 11, 2017 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Lurgan Celtic
3:2
Oct 7, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Dergview
1:3
Nov 26, 2016 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Lurgan Celtic
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Hallisey C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Dergview Compare

Top Goalscorer Sproule A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arkinson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Celtic 85 / 100
Dergview 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lurgan Celtic Dergview

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dergview's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Dergview registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lurgan Celtic scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dergview
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Celtic

(Home)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
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Dergview

(Away)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)