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Lurgan Celtic vs Larne

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Lurgan Celtic Logo

Lurgan Celtic

0 - 5
FT
Larne Logo

Larne

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Finnegan P.
29' Event
Finnegan P.
80' Event
Ramsey C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Larne in this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Larne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Lurgan Celtic
15%
Draws
68%
Larne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Larne lately — more wins on the board than Lurgan Celtic.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Larne taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Larne have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 20%
Larne Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lurgan Celtic Larne
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 3 23
Draws 5 6
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.84 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Larne
0:5
Mar 10, 2018 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Lurgan Celtic
2:0
Dec 23, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Larne
1:3
Oct 21, 2017 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Lurgan Celtic
2:2
Apr 1, 2017 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Lurgan Celtic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Finnegan P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramsey C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Celtic 24 / 100
Larne 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lurgan Celtic Larne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lurgan Celtic scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Larne has conceded goals in 46% of their last 35 outings.

Lurgan Celtic went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Larne
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Celtic

(Home)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
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Larne

(Away)
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3
Lincoln Red Imps
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)