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Lurgan Celtic vs Oxford Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Lurgan Celtic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lurgan Celtic
15%
Draws
42%
Oxford Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Oxford Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lurgan Celtic a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Oxford Stars arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lurgan Celtic, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lurgan Celtic have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Oxford Stars Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lurgan Celtic Oxford Stars
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 1
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 1 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.82 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2009 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Oxford Stars
2:1
Nov 22, 2008 Irish Cup
Lurgan Celtic vs Oxford Stars
1:0
Aug 23, 2008 IFA Championship 2
Oxford Stars vs Lurgan Celtic
0:2
Apr 21, 2007 IFA Championship 2
Oxford Stars vs Lurgan Celtic
1:0
Feb 3, 2007 IFA Championship 2
Lurgan Celtic vs Oxford Stars
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Celtic 65 / 100
Oxford Stars 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lurgan Celtic Oxford Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oxford Stars conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lurgan Celtic scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Oxford Stars lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lurgan Celtic VS Oxford Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 0
3.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Celtic

(Home)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7

Oxford Stars

(Away)
05 Oct
Hanover
:
Oxford Stars
18 Aug
Oxford Stars
0 : 1
Wakehurst
30 Sept
Crumlin Star
5 : 0
Oxford Stars
19 Aug
Oxford Stars
4 : 3
Trojans
05 Nov
Richhill
1 : 0
Oxford Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 3
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raceview 2
Donard 1
Sport & Leisure 0
Dromara 3
Kilmore Rec 3
East Belfast 1
Markethill 2
U. U. Coleraine 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians -
TBD -
Portadown BBOB 0
Tandragee 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lower Maze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 3
Desertmartin 0
TBD -
Brantwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Newington FC -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Churchill -
TBD -
Seagoe 1
Newcastle 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Barn 0
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Moyola 3
Laurelvale 2
TBD -
Hanover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Holywood 1
Sirocco 2
Bryansburn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 3
Comber Rec 2
Bloomfield 1
Grove 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saintfield -
TBD -
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Nortel -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Draperstown 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 6
Roe Valley 1
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Dungiven 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunaghy -
TBD -
Crewe 2
Crumlin United 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Fivemiletown 1
Warrenpoint 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Raceview 3
Dromara 4
Kilmore Rec 3
U. U. Coleraine 1
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians 2
Tandragee 1
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth 2
Lower Maze 0
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 2
Brantwood 1
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Newington FC 4
PSNI 4
Foundry 3
Churchill 3
Newcastle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 2
Ards Rangers 3
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Knockbreda 2
Moyola 1
Hanover 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 4
Bryansburn 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 1
Grove 0
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
Saintfield 0
Dundela 5
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
Strabane FC 2
Dollingstown 6
Nortel 5
Draperstown 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 3
Dungiven 2
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
Dunaghy 0
Crumlin United 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 3
Dromara 1
Kilmore Rec 0
Donegal 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
Malachians 1
Ards 2
Limavady 5
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Banbridge 2
Killyleagh Youth 2
Killymoon 0
Queens University 2
Tobermore 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Glebe 0
Newington FC 2
PSNI 6
Newcastle 3
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 5
Hanover 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Drumaness 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Portstewart 3
Coagh Utd 2
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown 5
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Dergview 3
Larne 3
Dollingstown 1
Nortel 0
Loughgall 5
Ballymena -
TBD -
Newbuildings 1
Ballyclare 4
Ballymoney 2
Crumlin United 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 3
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 0
Donegal 1
Coleraine 3
Ards 0
Limavady 0
Glentoran 3
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Tobermore 4
Glenavon 3
Newington FC 1
PSNI 0
Linfield 3
Institute 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 2
Dungannon 7
Bangor FC 6
Carrick Rangers 2
Portstewart 0
Newry City 8
Portadown 8
Dergview 1
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tobermore 0
Glenavon 1
Linfield 3
Institute 1
Dungannon 0
Bangor FC 0
Newry City 1
Portadown 5
Loughgall 0
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Linfield 3
Institute 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Linfield 2
Institute 1
Crusaders 4
Final
Cliftonville 0
Crusaders 1