Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019

Lurgan Celtic

2 - 3

Portstewart

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Portstewart advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Lurgan Celtic

15%

Draws

21%

Portstewart

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Portstewart carry the better recent record into this one.
64% — that's where the model lands on Lurgan Celtic taking it.
Portstewart arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Lurgan Celtic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 20%

Portstewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lurgan Celtic	Portstewart
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	2	3
Draws	5	2
Losses	23	24
Goals Scored	0.83	0.86
Goals Conceded	3.07	3.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.98	0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2018 Irish Cup

Lurgan Celtic vs Portstewart

2:3

Feb 5, 2011 IFA Championship 2

Portstewart vs Lurgan Celtic

2:1

Nov 6, 2010 IFA Championship 2

Lurgan Celtic vs Portstewart

5:3

Apr 20, 2010 IFA Championship 2

Portstewart vs Lurgan Celtic

1:2

Apr 10, 2010 IFA Championship 2

Lurgan Celtic vs Portstewart

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Celtic 85 / 100

Portstewart 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lurgan Celtic Portstewart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portstewart has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Portstewart registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lurgan Celtic found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Portstewart

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 2.75

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Celtic

(Home)

27 Aug

Crusaders

Lurgan Celtic

17 Aug

Hanover

Lurgan Celtic

03 Nov

Lurgan Celtic

2 : 3

Portstewart

29 Sept

Lurgan Celtic

St. Patricks Young

28 Aug

Ballinamallard

4 : 1

Lurgan Celtic

Page 1 of 6

Portstewart

(Away)

25 Jul

Portstewart

1 : 5

Ballymena

11 Jul

Coleraine

3 : 0

Portstewart

16 Aug

Moyola

5 : 3

Portstewart

02 Aug

Portstewart

0 : 9

Coleraine

19 Jul

Portstewart

1 : 1

Larne

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 6

Cookstown Youth 1

Aquinas 3

Foundry 4

Moneyslane FC -

TBD -

Bangor Swifts 1

Crumlin United 2

Newtowne FC 6

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Broomhedge 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 12

Annagh -

TBD -

Rosemount Rec -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Dundonald -

Dunmurry Rec 4

Mossley FC 3

Iveagh Utd 2

Dungiven 5

Lurgan Town Boys -

TBD -

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Desertmartin 3

Armagh -

TBD -

Hanover 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Sofia Farmer 1

Seapatrick 1

Coagh Utd 6

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge -

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. 4

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Ballymoney 2

Rosario Youth 1

Derriaghy 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Ardstraw 7

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Brantwood 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 2

Saintfield 1

Laurelvale 3

Valley Rangers 3

Tandragee 2

TBD -

Newington FC -

Comber Rec 1

Immaculata 0

Dromara 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. -

TBD -

Drumaness -

Shankill -

TBD -

Bangor Old Boys -

Wellington Rec -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 9

Malachians 2

Lower Maze 2

Trojans 3

Ballynahinch United 3

Groomsport 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Woodvale 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Oxford Sunnyside 6

Bryansburn 3

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Markethill 3

Killyleagh Youth 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Sirocco 0

Glebe 1

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Ballymacash 1

Kilmore Rec 3

Moyola -

TBD -

Crewe -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa -

TBD -

Chimney 2

Grove 5

Colin Valley 2

Suffolk 1

Silverwood 1

Shorts 8

Fivemiletown 7

Bloomfield 0

Oxford Stars 0

Wakehurst 1

Bangor Amateurs FC 3

Newcastle 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Tullycarnet 4

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 2

Foundry 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Crumlin United 5

Newtowne FC 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 0

Annagh 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Dundonald 0

Dunmurry Rec 1

Dungiven 4

Lurgan Town Boys 4

Desertmartin 1

Armagh 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 4

Coagh Utd 2

Ards Rangers 0

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Ballymoney 1

Strabane Athletic 5

Queens University 4

Dollingstown 3

Ardstraw 3

Tobermore 5

Brantwood 2

Laurelvale 1

Valley Rangers 1

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 4

Lisburn Rangers 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Drumaness 4

Shankill 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Wellington Rec 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 3

Trojans 1

Ballynahinch United 3

Seagoe 4

Lurgan Celtic -

St. Patricks Young -

Oxford Sunnyside -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure 2

Kilmore Rec 1

Moyola 1

Crewe 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Grove 3

Colin Valley 3

Shorts 4

Fivemiletown 3

Wakehurst 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Tullycarnet 1

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 3

Crumlin United 1

Newtowne FC 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dungiven 1

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Newbuildings 0

Banbridge 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Tobermore 3

Brantwood 2

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 2

Drumaness 1

Shankill 2

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 4

Seagoe 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Portstewart 3

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 5

Bangor FC 3

Sport & Leisure 0

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 3

Shorts 1

Fivemiletown 1

Tullycarnet 2

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 1

Rosemount Rec 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dunloy 0

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 4

Newington FC 1

Comber Rec 3

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 1

Portstewart 0

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 2

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Tullycarnet 3

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Ballinamallard 5

PSNI 1

Ards 0

Carrick Rangers 1

Glenavon 5

Rosemount Rec 0

Cliftonville 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Limavady 0

Knockbreda 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Lisburn Distillery 0

Institute 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Maiden City 2

Dergview 3

Crumlin Star 4

Loughgall 1

Newry City 1

Larne 2

Ballymena 3

Dundela 1

Abbey Villa 1

Portadown 5

Linfield 1

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 1

Crusaders 4

1/8-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Glenavon 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Strabane Athletic 1

Queens University 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 3

Dergview 0

Crumlin Star 1

Larne 3

Ballymena 4

Portadown 1

Linfield 1

Crusaders 2

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 3

Dungannon 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Warrenpoint 3

Coleraine 5

Larne 3

Ballymena 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Warrenpoint 0

Coleraine 0

Crusaders 2

Final

Ballinamallard 0

Crusaders 3

Lurgan Celtic vs Portstewart

Northern Ireland

Lurgan Celtic

Portstewart

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Celtic

Portstewart

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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