Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lurgan Celtic vs PSNI

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Lurgan Celtic Logo

Lurgan Celtic

2 - 4
FT
PSNI Logo

PSNI

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Malone D.
30' Event
Adamczyk L.
54' Event
McClurg J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PSNI in this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored PSNI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lurgan Celtic
15%
Draws
0%
PSNI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Celtic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSNI lately — more wins on the board than Lurgan Celtic.
  • Lurgan Celtic are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSNI have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 18%
PSNI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lurgan Celtic PSNI
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 3 7
Draws 5 0
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 0.84 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.97 3.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs PSNI
2:4
Feb 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic
11:1
Nov 4, 2017 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic
2:0
Sep 2, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs PSNI
3:0
Nov 5, 2016 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Lurgan Celtic
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Top Goalscorer Doran M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rogers A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

PSNI Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamczyk L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Malone D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Celtic 85 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lurgan Celtic PSNI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lurgan Celtic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSNI has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: PSNI has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Lurgan Celtic scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS PSNI
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Celtic

(Home)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
Page 1 of 7

PSNI

(Away)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)