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Lusaca W vs Alagoinhas W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2023
Lusaca W Logo

Lusaca W

2 - 0
FT
Alagoinhas W Logo

Alagoinhas W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lusaca W in this Baiano Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lusaca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lusaca W
15%
Draws
46%
Alagoinhas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alagoinhas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alagoinhas W lately — more wins on the board than Lusaca W.
  • Alagoinhas W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 10%
Alagoinhas W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusaca W Alagoinhas W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.87
Goals Conceded 3.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 3.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Alagoinhas W
1:3
Aug 20, 2023 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Alagoinhas W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusaca W 10 / 100
Alagoinhas W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusaca W Alagoinhas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alagoinhas W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusaca W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Alagoinhas W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Lusaca W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusaca W VS Alagoinhas W
2 Goals Scored 4
3.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusaca W

(Home)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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Alagoinhas W

(Away)
02 May
Prosperidade W
1 : 0
Alagoinhas W
29 Apr
Penarol W
:
Alagoinhas W
25 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 1
Juventude W
19 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
0 : 1
Alagoinhas W
05 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 0
Guarani de Paripueira W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 7 0 0 50:3 21
2 Vitoria W 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 15:7 15
4 Lusaca W 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Jacuipense W 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
6 Alagoinhas W 7 2 0 5 8:16 6
7 Leonico W 7 1 0 6 3:26 3
8 Redencao W 7 0 0 7 1:44 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2023 (Play Offs)