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Lusaca W vs Bahia W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Bahia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lusaca W
15%
Draws
51%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusaca W haven't matched Bahia W's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bahia W taking it.
  • Bahia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bahia W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 19%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusaca W Bahia W
Matches Played 33 43
Wins 14 30
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.67 3.37
Goals Conceded 3.09 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Lusaca W
14:2
Oct 18, 2025 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Bahia W
0:8
Sep 16, 2023 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Lusaca W
9:0
Sep 9, 2023 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Bahia W
0:4
Aug 23, 2023 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Lusaca W
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusaca W 10 / 100
Bahia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusaca W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 9.20 goals as a typical output.

Lusaca W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Bahia W conceded in 53% of 43 recent games.

Solid form: Lusaca W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bahia W
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusaca W

(Home)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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Bahia W

(Away)
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
AD Astro W 2
Vitoria W 2
Lusaca W 0
Bahia W 13
Final
Vitoria W 1
Bahia W 2