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Lusaca W vs Doce Mel W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2021
Lusaca W Logo

Lusaca W

1 - 3
FT
Doce Mel W Logo

Doce Mel W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano Women 2021 game between Lusaca W and Doce Mel W finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Doce Mel W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Lusaca W
15%
Draws
12%
Doce Mel W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusaca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Lusaca W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 10%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusaca W Doce Mel W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 3.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Lusaca W
5:1
Sep 4, 2021 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Doce Mel W
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusaca W 34 / 100
Doce Mel W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusaca W Doce Mel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Doce Mel W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Lusaca W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Doce Mel W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Doce Mel W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusaca W VS Doce Mel W
1.33 Goals Scored 0.5
7.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusaca W

(Home)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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Doce Mel W

(Away)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 5 4 1 0 18:1 13
2 Vitoria W 5 4 0 1 13:9 12
3 Doce Mel W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
4 Juventude Conquista W 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
5 Lusaca W 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Fluminense de Feira W 5 0 0 5 3:19 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2021 (Play Offs)