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Lusail vs Al Arabi (Qatar) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lusail host Al Arabi (Qatar) in the QSL. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Lusail have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Al Arabi (Qatar)'s 1.79 scored and 1.59 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Arabi (Qatar) slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2025, ending 6:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Al Arabi (Qatar) to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lusail
30%
Draws
41%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Arabi (Qatar)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) have won more games recently than Lusail.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Al Arabi (Qatar) taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Arabi (Qatar) here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lusail Clean Sheet 16%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Arabi (Qatar)
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Lusail
6:1
May 8, 2022 QFA Cup
Lusail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
2:3
Apr 14, 2022 QFA Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Lusail
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 23 / 100
Al Arabi (Qatar) 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Arabi (Qatar)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Arabi (Qatar) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lusail scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Arabi (Qatar) conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Lusail has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Arabi (Qatar)
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
31 Oct
Al Sailiya
1 : 2
Lusail
24 Oct
Al Duhail
3 : 1
Lusail
17 Oct
Lusail
0 : 0
Shamal
10 Oct
Al Shahaniya
1 : 0
Lusail
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
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Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Away)
31 Oct
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
24 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
16 Oct
Al Shahaniya
0 : 6
Al Arabi (Qatar)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 8 6 0 2 31:14 18
2 Al Rayyan 8 5 3 0 16:3 18
3 Al Duhail 8 5 3 0 18:7 18
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 8 3 4 1 16:8 13
5 Al Ahli 8 3 2 3 14:15 11
6 Al Wakra 8 3 2 3 14:16 11
7 Lusail 8 2 3 3 10:9 9
8 Al Gharafa 8 2 3 3 10:13 9
9 Shamal 8 2 3 3 13:17 9
10 Al Shahaniya 8 2 1 5 9:21 7
11 Qatar SC 8 1 3 4 9:18 6
12 Al Sailiya 8 0 1 7 9:28 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)